Wimbledon has tended to be the most predictable of tournaments, and has been retained by the previous year’s winner on eighteen occasions. In fact, only twenty different men have won the tournament in the forty-nine editions since the beginning of the Open era. But it is possible that after the years in which Roger Federer had a stranglehold on the tournament, we have entered an era in which favorites will not dominate, although with Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic dominating the betting between them, Wimbledon is not likely to become a wide-open betting event any time soon.
Wimbledon Prize Money
The world’s oldest tennis Grand Slam is also the second richest on the circuit, ranking only behind the US Open in terms of prize money. In 2016, the prize pool was increased by 5% on the previous year, to a total of $41.05 million. For winning his second Wimbledon title, Andy Murray picked up a healthy prize of $2.9 million, while runner-up Milos Raonic was compensated with a cheque for $1.45 million. Beaten semi-finalists Roger Federer and Tomas Berdych each earned $725,750 and the four players who went out at the quarter-final stage each went home with $362,875.
One thing to bear in mind is Wimbledon’s proximity in the calendar to the French Open. There is usually less than a month between the two, which can be significant. The French Open is the most grueling Grand Slam event of all, while the move from clay to grass that takes place in early June is the most dramatic switch of surface possible in tennis. For these reasons, it can sometimes pay to be wary of backing a player who has gone deep into the tournament at Roland Garros, whilst an early exit in Paris can help a player when it comes to their Wimbledon fortunes.
The weight of the patriotic pound will always mean that Andy Murray is likely to be shorter in the tournament winners’ market than he should be, and that, in theory, should create value elsewhere, though it can be tough to find. You can sometimes find big odds available on the serve-and-volley specialists who used to dominate this tournament, but be wary. Over the last few years, the grass surface at Wimbledon has become much slower, and a booming serve and the ability to scramble at the net isn’t the advantage it once was.