ATP Finals

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ATP Finals Favourites

The ATP Tour Finals is an event that has tended to go to the tournament favourite, more so than any of the Grand Slams. Rather than producing a keenly-fought and unpredictable end of season tussle, the Tour Finals generally conform to the world rankings. Ilie Nastase, Bjorn Borg, Ivan Lendl, Pete Sampras, John McEnroe and Boris Becker have all enjoyed spells of dominance, and since 2003, there have only been four different winners, with Roger Federer winning it six times and Novak Djokovic justifying favouritism for the last four editions.

ATP Finals Prize Money

The ATP Tour Finals features the best eight players in the men’s game and is designed to be a rival to the Grand Slam events, so naturally the prize fund is considerable, although there is an unusual structure to the prize money. In 2016, reaching the event alone guaranteed you a ‘participation fee’ of $167,000, which isn’t bad just for turning up. Victory in any of the three round robin games earns you another $167,000 and the two finalists share over $2 million between them, with the winner earning $1,560,000. Unlike the Grand Slam events, however, there is no prize money on offer for reaching the semi-finals.

ATP Finals Betting

This is the last tournament of what is a long and grueling season, and those players who turn up, drawn by the prize money and prestige associated with the Tour Finals, are usually carrying a range of niggling injuries. It’s also an unusually intense format, more akin to the final rounds of a Grand Slam, played on a distinctive hard-court indoor venue. Head to head records can be particularly relevant when betting on this event, along with tournament experience, and, of course, physical and mental strength.

ATP Finals Odds

In line with the overall tournament betting, in which favourites have dominated, the vast majority of individual matches at the ATP Tour Finals go to the favourite, making it easier for bookies to price up than would be the case in a more open tournament. Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray are likely to be available at eye-wateringly small prices in outright and match betting markets, but that can sometimes leave bookies with little room for maneuver elsewhere, particularly with younger players who have had a taste of the tournament before and can be expected to improve.